Are impenetrable radar defenses in SE and Central Asia vulnerable?

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Good afternoon:

Many people are wondering today why the Malaysia Air Force did not notice Flight MH 370 flying W/B across the Malaysia Peninsula heading toward the Straits of Malacca early Saturday morning.

The answer is that the supposedly impenetrable air defense system in southeast Asia could more accurately be described as a sieve without anyone paying attention and that’s during the day. At night it isn’t even turned on.

As the Crane-Station just said,

Imagine a scene opening on a bunch of guys sitting around a table playing poker, tossing down shots and smoking cigars. You can hear bed springs complaining as two people are screwing in a back room. No one is showing any interest in a radar screen with an unidentified blip slowly crawling across it

Oh, hell no!

Walmart has better security.

Peter Apps and Frank Jack Daniel of Reuters are reporting today,

Air traffic systems rely almost entirely on on-board transponders to detect and monitor aircraft. In this case, those systems appear to have been deactivated around the time the aircraft crossed from Malaysian to Vietnamese responsibility.

At the very least, the incident looks set to spark calls to make it impossible for those on board an aircraft to turn off its transponders and disappear.

Military systems, meanwhile, are often limited in their own coverage or just ignore aircraft they believe are on regular commercial flights. In some cases, they are simply switched off except during training and when a threat is expected.

That, one senior Indian official said, might explain why the Boeing 777 was not detected by installations on India’s Andaman and Nicobar Islands, an archipelago which its planes were searching on Friday and Saturday, or elsewhere.

“We have many radar systems operating in this area, but nothing was picked up,” Rear Admiral Sudhir Pillai, chief of staff of India’s Andamans and Nicobar Command, told Reuters. “It’s possible that the military radars were switched off as we operate on an ‘as required’ basis.”

Separately, a defence source said that India did not keep its radar facilities operational at all times because of cost. Asked what the reason was, the source said: “Too expensive.”

The person who hijacked MH 370 had figured out how to exploit radar vulnerabilities. We do not know why, but there is no question that whomever pulled off this sky jacking is a brilliant, fearless and ruthless person who knew how to fly a 777-200 ER, disable communication equipment and weave his way through radar defenses.

I do not believe that person went to all of this trouble just to commit suicide in the Indian Ocean.

I believe the only reason that the southern route to extinction is being pushed as the most likely scenario by the so-called experts is that a bunch of countries with egg on their faces do not want to admit that they were asleep at the wheel.

I fear this is not going to end well.

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Situation is desperate. Donations are lagging. We work hard to keep you informed by filling in the blanks between the lines. After 30 years in the trenches, I am familiar with all of the rules and strategies prosecutors and defense counsel utilize. Experience counts and most of my predictions have been accurate.

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